tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post3707323690297021029..comments2023-11-02T08:28:08.286-05:00Comments on Rany on the Royals: 2013 Opening Day Preview, Part 1.Ranyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09713226276377020284noreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-16804074360740403612013-02-28T22:33:42.456-06:002013-02-28T22:33:42.456-06:00How it takes baserunning into account, I do not kn...How it takes baserunning into account, I do not know. But it does take baserunning into account. (Makes sense because there's no way Dyson does as well as he did without it counting.) But, seriously, Dyson doesn't win that game. He finishes that game. That game is won by the different variables that occur throughout the game, from the first pitch to Dyson crossing the plate.Antonio.https://www.blogger.com/profile/08740155942210835984noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-29136806526509164332013-02-25T00:49:43.429-06:002013-02-25T00:49:43.429-06:00Does Win Probability Added cover more than hitting...Does Win Probability Added cover more than hitting? If so, does it cover the value of a stolen base or scoring in some situation based entirely on your speed?Kansas Cityhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16630367629067743935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-18169140734567900962013-02-24T09:50:46.100-06:002013-02-24T09:50:46.100-06:00WAR estimates a player's value statistically, ...WAR estimates a player's value statistically, not by evaulating the importance of an individual play in a single game. You might be interested in a stat like Win Probability Added if you're looking for that kind of info.Colinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17427999683259235276noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-68747453237865924392013-02-23T11:17:34.263-06:002013-02-23T11:17:34.263-06:00Antonio:
How would WAR credit Dyson properly in m...Antonio:<br /><br />How would WAR credit Dyson properly in my scenario of him pinch running and "winning" the game? I'm no WAR exeprt, but I've always wondered about whether it properly takes into account all types of "game winning" plays in the real world (an answer may be that it does not try to do so). It just seems to me that "speed" plays may be a Kansas Cityhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16630367629067743935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-84978826976512183702013-02-23T11:11:20.363-06:002013-02-23T11:11:20.363-06:00You don't need to call "unknown" a &...You don't need to call "unknown" a "fool," but it is odd that he writes here. I assume most everyone who comes here at least considers Rany interesting. To me, he is very hard not to like (other than when he delves into politics). The critisiam by Unknown also is not very good. Rany provided information about the earlier years of Kendall, he made a joke about Hoch, andKansas Cityhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16630367629067743935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-66131031751426068612013-02-23T01:10:18.637-06:002013-02-23T01:10:18.637-06:00Well, the Hoche/Kershaw comment was said in jest. ...Well, the Hoche/Kershaw comment was said in jest. It's not to make the Royals look bad, but to make a joke as to how committed the Royals are to starting Hochevar in the 5th spot.<br /><br />And there's a difference between Beane and the Brewers doing it and the Royals doing it. The biggest difference is Kendall's age. Kenny was much older and clearly regressing rapidly. He was Antonio.https://www.blogger.com/profile/08740155942210835984noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-3228347984609395392013-02-23T00:35:06.558-06:002013-02-23T00:35:06.558-06:00Why do you come to this blog if u feel that way? T...Why do you come to this blog if u feel that way? The only people that will read your comment are people that come here who respect his opinion and care what he has to say about the Royals. So, to everyone, you sound like a fool. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17378774582809696125noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-18730667413280888952013-02-23T00:31:51.151-06:002013-02-23T00:31:51.151-06:00This comment has been removed by the author.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17378774582809696125noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-2496834405963699262013-02-22T15:48:24.967-06:002013-02-22T15:48:24.967-06:00"I hope Ned Yost is exaggerating when he talk...<i>"I hope Ned Yost is exaggerating when he talks about starting Salvador Perez eight days a week – but remember, this is the same manager who started Jason Kendall behind the plate 149 times in 2008, the most starts by a catcher in the last 30 years.</i><br /><br />This is exactly the kind of shit you love to throw out there to make the Royals sound *way* worse than they really are. Jason Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13821334149177201380noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-8844364897517074082013-02-22T00:38:06.239-06:002013-02-22T00:38:06.239-06:00" I’m operating under the assumption that Cla..." I’m operating under the assumption that Clayton Kershaw wouldn’t beat Hochevar out for that spot"<br /><br />That's awesome snark, but unfortunately for the Royals, probably true. We might also operate under the assumption that Giancarlo Stanton wouldn't beat out Frenchy for the right field spot.KHAZADhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06625151001857035616noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-44495332592576537512013-02-21T21:51:00.001-06:002013-02-21T21:51:00.001-06:00He wouldn't get credit for that win because he...He wouldn't get credit for that win because he's not responsible for that win. There's 20-some outs that occurred before that point. WAR would credit him properly. Dyson did very well in the WAR department (pun!) for a part time player.Antonio.https://www.blogger.com/profile/08740155942210835984noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-30788477484449865972013-02-21T15:22:46.410-06:002013-02-21T15:22:46.410-06:00Is Dyson the kind of guy who is more valuable than...Is Dyson the kind of guy who is more valuable than statistics suggest. For example, does his speed "win" games which would not appear in WAR analysis. If he pinch runs for Butler or Frenchy (assuming he ever got on base) in a tied game, stole second and then scored only due to his speed, would he be responsible for that win, but not credited for it in any meaningful statistical way?Kansas Cityhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16630367629067743935noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3129904004334636055.post-37369093348807004532013-02-21T00:01:45.066-06:002013-02-21T00:01:45.066-06:00Rany - love your blog. This is off topic but I wa...Rany - love your blog. This is off topic but I wanted to thank you for your perspective on two of your older articles, Roots of the Revolution and Ten Years Later. I just posted them on the Washington State University EMBA website for my classmates to read. We are studying causality and one of the readings is a book called Freakonomics. What that book discusses are directly related to those Garyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11537399341986195376noreply@blogger.com